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Shift Technologies

Shift started without a parent, sold each car through a staffed home test drive with an outside lender's loan, and stayed a handful of West Coast markets, so in the 2022 downturn it cut its footprint until gross profit could no longer cover its costs, while Carvana owned every step and kept a national network it later filled.

Why Shift Technologies lost to Carvana

  1. 1 · 2013–18Started alone, as a consignment serviceNo parent's plants or lenders; Shift bought its own cars only from 2018, on a credit line Lithia guaranteed.Tech-Enabled Services
  2. 2 · 2014–22A test drive at the door, a loan from someone elseStaff drove each car to the buyer for a three-hour test drive; loans came from third-party lenders for a fee.Tech-Enabled Services
  3. 3 · 2017–22A few West Coast markets, never a national networkFive California markets in 2017; 20,961 retail cars in 2022 against Carvana's 412,296.
  4. 4 · 2022–23Cut the footprint, not the cost per carClosed sites and 60% of jobs in 2022; second-quarter 2023 retail units fell 71%.Resource allocation
  5. 5 · 2023Cash ran out before scale arrivedRetail sales never regained 2021's 23,251 cars; the $95.7 million from CarLotz lasted ten months.

Versus Carvana: Carvana started on its parent's plants and credit, owned the loan and every step, and kept a national network through the downturn until volume filled it CV1 CVX-2. Shift started alone, sold through staffed home test drives and outside lenders in a few West Coast markets, and cut its footprint until its gross profit could not cover its costs CVX-7 SH1 SH7.

Arena: Market Conditions Before Shift Technologies

Used-car buyers and sellers · 2014 · United States

Information asymmetry

In 2014 an American buying a used car chose among vehicles that differed in condition, mileage and price, and usually needed a loan as well as the car SH1. Buying from a dealer meant a trip to the lot, sales pressure, prices that were hard to compare and financing worked out at the end of the sale SH1 CVP-2. Buying from a private seller on a listing site such as Craigslist avoided the dealer but brought a risk of fraud, little chance to test drive or return the car, and no financing or warranty SH1 CVP-2. An owner selling a car needed an offer, payment and a title transfer, and most did not want the work of selling it themselves SH1 CVX-7. Fixing any of this meant physical work, inspecting, repairing and moving cars, as well as paperwork and credit.

How each step happened

Step 1 of 5 · 2013–18

Started alone, as a consignment service

Shift was formed in 2013 and launched in 2014 as an online buyer and seller of used cars, funded by venture investors rather than a parent company SH1 SH6. It began as a consignment service: Shift sold a private owner's car for them, so it needed no inventory and no plants of its own. Co-founder George Arison says the model changed because most owners did not want to be the seller at all, and around October 2018 Shift began buying cars outright CVX-7.

Owning cars required what a parent company would otherwise have supplied. In September 2018 Shift signed a commercial agreement with Lithia, a large dealer group, and in October it took a $30 million credit line to finance vehicle purchases, with repayment guaranteed by Lithia SH1. Reconditioning, the inspection and repair that makes a used car ready to sell, was done by outside shops before Shift brought it in-house, still sending work out when volume ran high; Arison says outsourcing raised cost and quality problems CVX-7. With each piece built or borrowed in turn, a model built around people rather than plants was the natural way to sell.

Rivals Carvana was built inside DriveTime from 2012: DriveTime bought every loan it wrote through 2015, built and leased its reconditioning centers, and supplied most of its cars until late 2016 CV1 CVP-9.

Tech-Enabled Services

Step 2 of 5 · 2014–22

A test drive at the door, a loan from someone else

Shift answered the fear of buying a car unseen with a person. A buyer could book a test drive at home or work, and a Shift employee brought the car; the offer also carried a 150-plus-point inspection and a seven-day return guarantee SH6. In 2017 Arison named the on-demand test drive as the company's main edge CVX-8. By 2020 about 80% of sales involved a test drive, and 40–55% of drives ended in a sale CVX-7.

The service put labor and a car on the road before every sale. Arison says an average drive took about three hours, run by staff paid $15–20 an hour CVX-7. That cost grew with each sale in each market, so more volume meant more drivers and more hours, and did little to lower the cost per car.

Around the car Shift assembled other companies' services. It relied on third-party lenders to finance buyers and earned referral fees on the loans and protection products it sold, and it used independent carriers to move cars SH1. A shopper who prequalified for a loan could filter cars by budget, but the loan belonged to the lender SH1. Shift kept the fee and the margin on the car, so the car had to carry the business.

Rivals Carvana replaced the test drive with 360-degree photos and a seven-day return, showed loan terms on the page from DriveTime's credit models, ran its own haulers, and later sold the loans it wrote, $13.3 billion of them in 2025 CVP-1 CV1 CVX-2. Vroom also sent buyers to partner banks CVP-11.

Tech-Enabled Services

Step 3 of 5 · 2017–22

A few West Coast markets, never a national network

Because a test drive needed staff near each buyer, Shift grew city by city in dense urban markets. In 2017 it served Los Angeles, Orange County, San Diego, San Francisco and San Jose, and aimed for 8–10 markets by the end of 2018 CVX-8. By 2020 its five markets held 8% of the US population, served by five regional reconditioning centers SH6.

In October 2020 Shift went public by merging with a special-purpose acquisition company (SPAC). The June 2020 deal included a $185 million private placement, implied a market value of about $730 million, and was expected to leave up to $300 million of cash for growth SH6 SH1. Arison said the next push would be brand building CVX-7. Shift added storage and reconditioning sites in Washington and Texas as well as California and sold 23,251 retail cars in 2021, its best year SH1. Each new market was a separate operation with its own drivers and site, so growth added cost almost as fast as sales.

Rivals Carvana ran its markets from shared plants that held one national inventory, reached 21 metro areas by 2016, and in 2022 bought ADESA's 56 auction sites for about 2 million units of added annual capacity; it sold 412,296 retail cars that year to Shift's 20,961 CV1 CVX-3 CV8 SH1.

Step 4 of 5 · 2022–23

Cut the footprint, not the cost per car

In August 2022 Shift chose to shrink. Its restructuring plan, Project Focus, moved operations into three West Coast markets, Los Angeles, Oakland and Portland, closed seven locations, eliminated about 650 jobs, 60% of the workforce, and tilted inventory toward Value cars, those over eight years old or 80,000 miles SH1. Closing reconditioning centers also cut the cars available to sell SH1. In September Jeff Clementz replaced Arison as chief executive SH1.

The same month Shift agreed to merge with CarLotz, a consignment used-car retailer with its own stores; the deal closed in December SH4 SH1. In February 2023 Shift left the East Coast stores it had gained, kept former CarLotz sites in Pomona, California and Downers Grove, Illinois, and brought back in-person selling at its West Coast sites SH8. The company built on the home test drive now also sold from stores.

The cuts removed sales faster than cost. In the second quarter of 2023 Shift sold 1,998 retail cars, 71% fewer than a year earlier, and earned $3.1 million of gross profit against $22.6 million of selling, general and administrative expense (SG&A), with 335 employees against 1,232 SH7. Average days to sale rose from 63 to 73 SH7. A smaller network had fewer cars to sell and still carried more overhead than its gross profit could pay.

Rivals Carvana cut its cost per car and kept its plants: in the same quarter its retail units fell 35%, yet it reported record gross profit per unit and $155 million of positive adjusted EBITDA, about $70 million of it from one-time items, with a $105 million net loss CV1. It also took reconditioning work back from outside vendors CVX-5.

Resource allocation

Step 5 of 5 · 2023

Cash ran out before scale arrived

The CarLotz merger supplied cash, not scale. It brought $95.7 million SH1. Shift used $64.3 million on operations in the first half of 2023 and had $23.3 million of unrestricted cash on June 30, and its filings warned of substantial doubt about its ability to continue SH7. Its credit line with Ally for buying inventory was due to expire in December 2023 SH1.

Shift had started without a parent in step 1 and never owned the loans or a national set of plants that could have carried more volume. Chief executive Ayman Moussa said the end followed "months of trying to raise capital and restructure the balance sheet" SH2. On October 6, 2023 Shift closed its Oakland and Pomona locations and its website, and on October 9 it filed for Chapter 11 to wind the business down SH2 SH3. It never again sold the 23,251 retail cars of 2021 SH1.

Rivals Carvana kept its network through a 2023 debt exchange that cut debt by $1.326 billion, then filled it: retail units rose to 416,348 in 2024 and 596,641 in 2025 through plants it already had GFC-2 CVX-1 CVX-2.

Key dates

  1. 2013-01Carvana sells the whole purchase online in Atlanta CVP-1
  2. 2014Shift launches as a consignment service
  3. 2017-09Five California markets, home test drives CVX-8
  4. 2018-09Commercial agreement with Lithia SH1
  5. 2018-10Starts buying its own cars on a Lithia-guaranteed credit line SH1 CVX-7
  6. 2020-06SPAC deal with a $185 million private placement
  7. 2020-10Listed on Nasdaq SH1
  8. 202123,251 retail units Full year, Shift's peak SH1
  9. 2022-08Project Focus and CarLotz merger agreement
  10. 2022-09Clementz succeeds Arison as CEO SH1
  11. 2022-12CarLotz merger closes, adding cash
  12. 2022-1220,961 retail units Full year 2022, after closing sites SH1
  13. 2023-02Leaves the East Coast
  14. 2023-061,998 retail units Second quarter, down 71% year over year SH7
  15. 2023-06-30$23.3 million of cash left
  16. 2023-09Carvana's debt exchange cuts $1.3 billion of debt GFC-2
  17. 2023-10Stores and website close; Chapter 11
  18. 2025596,641 retail units Carvana, full year, +43% CVX-2

Sources

Oldest first.

  1. CVP-1 Carvana Launches First 100 Percent Online Car Retailer in Atlanta. PR Newswire (Carvana release) · 2013-01-29 Company press release
  2. CVP-2 Carvana Launches to Bring the Used Car Buying Process Online, From Search to Pink Slip. BetaKit · 2013-03-08 Trade report
  3. CVP-11 The Used Car Market Meets 2015: No Showroom, No Salesmen, Free Delivery. Fast Company · 2015 Trade report
  4. CV1 Carvana 2017 IPO S-1/A. Carvana / SEC · 2017-04-17 IPO filing
  5. CVX-8 Shift is a startup that wants to make owning a car as easy as ordering from Amazon. CNBC · 2017-09-29 Trade report
  6. CVP-9 How An Ex-Con Became A Billionaire From Used Cars. Forbes (Nathan Vardi) · 2017-12-18 Profile
  7. SH6 Shift and Insurance Acquisition combination. Shift / SEC · 2020-06-29 SEC exhibit
  8. CVX-7 Going Public via SPACs and PIPEs... Building the Online Marketplace for Used Cars, Shift (George Arison), The Full Ratchet ep. 254. The Full Ratchet · 2020-10-26 Founder interview
  9. CVX-3 4 reasons Carvana decided to buy ADESA auctions. Auto Remarketing · 2022-02-25 Trade report
  10. SH4 Shift and CarLotz merger agreement. Shift Technologies / SEC · 2022-08-11 SEC filing
  11. SH8 Exit of East Coast presence. Shift · 2023-02-02 Primary participant record
  12. SH1 2022 Form 10-K. Shift Technologies / SEC · 2023-03 SEC filing
  13. CV1 Second-quarter 2023 shareholder letter. Carvana / SEC · 2023-07-19 SEC exhibit
  14. SH7 Second-quarter 2023 Form 10-Q. Shift / SEC · 2023-08-10 SEC filing
  15. CVX-5 Carvana: Evolution of the Inspection & Reconditioning Process. In Practise · 2023-08-28 Former employee interview
  16. GFC-2 September 2023 Debt Exchange Summary. Carvana (investor relations) · 2023-09-01 Company filing summary
  17. SH2 Shift to wind down its business. Shift Technologies / SEC · 2023-10-06 Primary company record
  18. SH3 Chapter 11 filing. Shift Technologies / SEC · 2023-10-10 SEC filing
  19. CV8 Carvana FY2023 Form 10-K. Carvana · 2024-02-22 Annual report
  20. CVX-1 Q4 2024 Letter to Shareholders. Carvana · 2025-02 Shareholder letter
  21. CVX-2 Q4 2025 Letter to Shareholders. Carvana · 2026-02 Shareholder letter